Your potential becomes more interesting after disciplined development enters the calculation.

Raw ability is a poor predictor on its own, because it says nothing about what happens when consistent effort is applied over years. Once you factor in disciplined development, the estimate changes completely, and people with unremarkable starting points routinely end up somewhere their early assessments would never have suggested. The variable that matters most is the one nobody can measure at the beginning.

Stop asking whether you have a natural aptitude for something and start asking whether you will practise it properly for three years. That second question is under your control and it does more of the work.