Winning too early can be the worst thing that happens to you. It teaches you the wrong lesson.

An early win tells you a story about why it happened, and the story is usually wrong. Timing and luck do not label themselves, so they get filed under skill. Then the first real resistance arrives and it does not feel like a normal part of doing things, it feels like proof that whatever you had is gone.

After anything goes well, spend two minutes on what actually caused it. Keep the parts you could repeat on a bad day. The rest was weather, and weather is not a method.